Showing posts with label Moodys. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Moodys. Show all posts

Monday, August 1, 2011

Moody's warns over Spanish rating

29 July 2011 Last updated at 14:48 GMT People in Madrid protesting about spending cuts and high unemployment Spain is continuing to see a number of protests about spending cuts and high unemployment Moody's has warned it may downgrade the credit rating of Spanish government bonds, saying last week's second rescue package for Greece had done little to ease debt concerns in the eurozone.

The rating agency said it was reviewing Spain's current Aa2 grade, adding that if it was downgraded, it would probably be by just one level, to Aa3.

Moody's added that the Spanish economy remained "subdued".

The Spanish government has now called an early general election.

The announcement was made just hours after Moody's made its credit rating warning, and will see Spain go to the polls on 20 November.

Explaining the decision, Prime Minister Jose Luis Rodriguez Zapatero said he wished to "project political and economic certainty" over the months ahead.

However, it could be benefit the opposition conservative Popular Party, as it is ahead of the ruling Socialist Party in the polls.

The government could have waited until March of next year to hold the general election.

'Bond precedent'

In explaining why it was reviewing Spain's credit rating, Moody's highlighted the fact that as part of the second bail-out deal for Greece, private bondholders were being invited to participate.

Continue reading the main story image of Sarah Rainsford Sarah Rainsford BBC News, Madrid

This is another blow to Spain - anxious to convince investors it won't need a Greek-style bailout. But Moody's still has concerns, so it has put Spain on review, for what's likely to be a one-notch downgrade of its government debt.

The ratings agency points to the slow pace of economic growth here, and the high levels of debt in Spain's autonomous regions. They account for almost half of state spending and several warn they'll overshoot the budget deficit target set by Madrid.

The Prime Minister, Jose Luis Rodriguez Zapatero, has insisted that won't affect his target of cutting Spain's overall deficit to 6% by the end of the year. But investor doubts, coupled with concern over the details of the latest bailout for Greece, has already pushed Spain's borrowing costs higher and higher.

The Prime Minister has now announced an early general election for November; the main opposition party has long insisted a change of government is the only way to recover confidence in this economy.

The private bondholders, such as banks, are being asked to exchange their current Greek bonds for ones which pay a lower rate of interest over a longer term.

Moody's said this set a "precedent", adding that it had "signalled a clear shift in risk for bondholders of countries with high debt burdens or large budget deficits".

However, if Spain is downgraded to Aa3, this remains a healthy investment grade.

Moody's also said five Spanish banks could have their credit ratings downgraded because of the same concerns.

These include the largest two lenders, Banco Santander and Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria (BBVA).

'Fiscal slippage'

Despite the forthcoming general election campaign, Spain's central government is continuing to enforce cost-cutting efforts to reduce its public deficit.

However, Madrid is hampered by the fact that Spain is a heavily devolved country, and its regional governments, such as those in Catalonia and the Basque region, are not moving as fast or as deep in trimming their spending.

Moody's highlighted this problem, warning of "fiscal slippage" at the regional and local government level.

Spain is also struggling with the eurozone's highest unemployment rate, which now stands at 20.9%.

Spain's main share index was down 0.7% in afternoon trading, after falling as much as 2.4% immediately following Moody's announcement.

The yield on the Spanish government's 10-year bonds rose 10 percentage points to 6.10%.

The euro declined, falling 0.3% against the dollar to $1.4287.

"The trigger is that the [Greek] deal last week has not really rebuilt confidence across the eurozone, so Spain is still on their radar screens with costs rising," said Giada Giani, analyst at Citigroup.


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Friday, July 15, 2011

Irish debt rating cut by Moody's

12 July 2011 Last updated at 20:57 GMT Pedestrians walk past a discount store on Moore Street in Dublin Moody's said it was increasingly likely that Ireland would need further rounds of official financing Ratings agency Moody's has cut the Republic of Ireland's debt rating to junk status.

Moody's said its decision was based on the "growing possibility" that Ireland would need a second bail-out before it can return to capital markets.

The current European Union and International Monetary Fund support programme is due to end in late 2013.

It comes at a time when markets fear the debt crisis in the eurozone could spread to Italy and Spain.

Ireland, Greece and Portugal have all been downgraded by ratings agencies several times in recent months.

Last week, the European Commission raised the issue of the "appropriateness of behaviour" of agencies, and Greek Foreign Minister Stavros Lambrinidis said the agencies had exacerbated an already difficult situation.

In its latest downgrade, Moody's cut Ireland's ratings by one notch to Ba1 from Baa3.

And the agency warned that further downgrades were possible if the Irish government failed to meet its deficit reduction targets, or if Greece were to default, thereby causing further market disruption.


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Thursday, June 30, 2011

Moody's cuts Toyota credit rating

28 June 2011 Last updated at 09:09 GMT Workers give the final check to Toyota cars Toyota and other carmakers have been operating at reduced capacity since March's earthquake Car giant Toyota has had its credit rating cut by the ratings agency Moody's on worries that the strong yen and rising raw material costs will hit profitability.

Moody's cut the car maker's credit rating one notch to Aa3 from Aa2.

The ratings agency, which had put Toyota under review in April, said further cuts remained a possibility.

Toyota has faced major disruptions to its supply chain from the 11 March earthquake and tsunami in Japan.

"Toyota's profit recovery during the period of its financial year to March 2013 will not be as strong as preferred due to its declining markets share in various regions, the strong yen and high raw material prices," Moody's said in a statement.

A strong yen makes Japanese exporters less competitive, and Toyota is a larger exporter than its Japanese competitors Honda and Nissan.


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Wednesday, June 22, 2011

Moody's cuts Tepco credit rating

21 June 2011 Last updated at 00:51 GMT Officials in protective gear check for signs of radiation on children who are from the evacuation area near the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear plant in Koriyama Residents are tested for signs of radiation after the leak at the Fukushima power plant Moody's Investor Service sharply cut Tokyo Electric Power's (Tepco) credit rating to junk status, as the operator of Japan's troubled nuclear power plant continues to struggle financially.

Moody's said it lowered Tepco's key rating four levels to B1 from Baa3.

The ratings agency said the reasons were rising costs and compensation fees related to the nuclear disaster.

Japan's government has proposed a support plan for Tepco, but faces opposition in Parliament.

"The latest downgrade reflects further escalation of costs and damages from the continuing Fukushima nuclear plant disaster and increased concern that government support measures may not completely protect creditors from losses," Moody's said in a statement.

The ratings agency also downgraded Tepco's senior secured rating to Ba2 from Baa2 and said it had put the company on review for possible further downgrade.

In May, Standard and Poors also lowered Tepco's long-term rating. A lower rating from credit ratings agencies makes it more expensive to borrow for companies.

Tepco faces huge compensation costs to individuals and businesses. Thousands of people remain evacuated from the area surrounding the Fukushima power plant.

The company reported a huge net loss of 1.25tn yen ($15.3bn; ?9.4bn) in the year to the end of March.

It was the largest loss in Japan's corporate history, excluding the financial sector.


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Saturday, June 11, 2011

Moody's warns on US debt ceiling

3 June 2011 Last updated at 02:04 GMT The US treasury department The treasury department has taken steps to avoid further borrowing pending the debt limit increase Moody's has warned it may downgrade the US debt rating if Congress fails to increase the US debt limit in the coming weeks and risks default.

The agency warned of political "entrenchment" preventing an increase.

Republicans on Wednesday blocked a bill to raise the debt limit, demanding Democrats first agree to spending cuts.

The US risks default if Congress does not authorise more borrowing by August. A downgrade would increase borrowing costs, slowing the economic recovery.

The US runs a $1.5tr (?916.8bn) deficit and is already about $14.3tr in debt.

The country reached its debt ceiling last month, but the US treasury department has begun taking extraordinary measures to avoid breaching the limit.

Flurry of negotiations

Leaders of both parties agree to the need to trim the budget in the face of massive budget overruns, but Republicans have refused to allow tax increases, while Democrats have vowed to protect costly social programmes.

The White House argues the United States would face "catastrophic" consequences if Congress does not raise the cap on total US government borrowing by 2 August.

Republicans and Democrats have engaged in a flurry of negotiations led by Vice-President Joseph Biden, but on Thursday no solution seemed imminent.

And US President Barack Obama, who has called for Congress to raise the debt limit without conditions, has held meetings with congressional leaders of both parties.

Also Thursday, US Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner held a meeting at the US Capitol with Republicans, including many newly elected congressmen who have indicated they see little risk to a showdown.

In a statement on Thursday, Moody's warned that if Congress does not act to increase borrowing authority in the coming weeks, it could downgrade the AAA rating on US government debt "due to the very small but rising risk of a short-lived default".

Such a move would increase borrowing costs, hindering the already struggling economic recovery.

"The rating outlook will depend on the outcome of negotiations on deficit reduction," the agency said, in what analysts interpreted as a criticism of both parties.

"A credible agreement on substantial deficit reduction would support a continued stable outlook; lack of such an agreement could prompt Moody's to change its outlook to negative on the AAA rating."

The agency said it had anticipated "political wrangling" on the debt increase but noted "the heightened polarization over the debt limit has increased the odds of a short-lived default".

Moody's move took Washington by surprise, even though in April, ratings agency Standard & Poors warned it could cut its credit rating on US government debt over concern Democrats and Republicans would not be able to agree a plan to reduce the growing deficit.


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Friday, June 3, 2011

Banks warned of Moody's downgrade

24 May 2011 Last updated at 08:52 GMT Watch: ETX Capitals' Manoj Ladwa says 'there is some weakness in the banking sector'

Fourteen UK banks and building societies have been told that their credit ratings may be cut because of the withdrawal of government support.

Moody's said on Tuesday it was reviewing banks including Lloyds and Royal Bank of Scotland, hitting the share prices of both firms.

Moody's sees less government support as possibly weakening the creditworthiness of some financial institutions.

A downgrade would raise borrowing costs for banks and building societies.

The Bank of England has already said that an emergency funding line - the Special Liquidity Scheme - will not be rolled over when it expires in January 2012.

Elisabeth Rudman, a Moody's senior credit officer, said: "The reassessment is not driven by either a deterioration in the financial strength of the banking system or that of the government."

"It has been initiated in response to ongoing guidance from the UK authorities - the Bank of England, the Financial Services Authority and the Treasury."

The agency said that current levels of state support for the financial sector adds two to five notches of ratings uplift for the large UK banks and one to five notches of uplift for the smaller firms.

The ratings of Barclays and HSBC were not placed on review by Moody's.

Shares in Lloyds and RBS fell about 1%, but recovered slightly after the initial surprise at Moody's announcement subsided.


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